Projected starters ranked by probability of a ≥2 batting-slot change.
Score blends the player's historical slot variance, the team's shuffle tendency, the
platoon matchup vs today's SP, and the slot's base move-rate. ⚐ = official lineup posted.
First pitch and projected lineup-release time per team
(= game time − the team's typical lead, learned from when they've actually posted
lineups; ⚐ = released). Lead shown in minutes before first pitch.
Projected vs official batting slot, with the hits-odds move and the
implied slot move the market priced in (anchored to the projected slot, so talent
cancels). agree/disagree = did the
market move the same direction as the actual lineup change.